Not the rate, the scaffolding: BOJ normalisation and the credit that lived on flow
As interest rates rise, firms buckle. Put July’s run of regional-bank losses beside the collapse of Zentoshin, an Osaka payment agent, and the story writes itself. It is half wrong. The Bank of Japan did raise its policy rate to 1.00% in June, the highest since 1995, but stripped of inflation the real rate is still deeply negative (Dai-ichi Life Research Institute). A rate of 1% is not, in itself, crushing borrowers. What changed is not the level of rates but the machinery that ran beneath them. ...